2026 World Cup Golden Boot odds

Who finishes as the 2026 World Cup's top scorer? Our model ranks the leading Golden Boot contenders by attacking role and how far their nation is projected to go: the deeper the run, the more games, the more chances.

As of August 4, 2026, The Group Stage's model makes Lamine Yamal the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot favorite (9%). Leading contenders: Lamine Yamal 9%, Kylian Mbappé 8%, Lautaro Martínez 8%, Lionel Messi 8%, Rodrygo 7%.