Top scorer
Ad2026 World Cup Golden Boot odds
Who finishes as the 2026 World Cup's top scorer? Our model ranks the leading Golden Boot contenders by attacking role and how far their nation is projected to go: the deeper the run, the more games, the more chances.
As of June 14, 2026, The Group Stage's model makes Lamine Yamal the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot favorite (11%). Leading contenders: Lamine Yamal 11%, Kylian Mbappé 10%, Cristiano Ronaldo 8%, Bukayo Saka 7%, Harry Kane 7%.
Lamine Yamal
Spain · RW11%+8092
Kylian Mbappé
France · ST10%+9003
Cristiano Ronaldo
Portugal · ST8%+11504
Bukayo Saka
England · RW7%+13295
Harry Kane England · ST7%+13296
Lautaro Martínez
Argentina · ST6%+15677
Lionel Messi Argentina · RW6%+15678
Rodrygo
Brazil · RW6%+15679
Vinícius Júnior Brazil · LW6%+156710
Kai Havertz
Germany · ST5%+190011
Cody Gakpo
Netherlands · LW5%+190012
Antonio Nusa
Norway · LW3%+323313
Erling Haaland Norway · ST3%+323314
Christian Pulisic
United States · LW3%+323315
Jérémy Doku
Belgium · LW3%+323316
Romelu Lukaku Belgium · ST3%+323317
Kaoru Mitoma
Japan · LW2%+490018
Takefusa Kubo Japan · RW2%+490019
Jhon Durán
Colombia · ST2%+490020
Luis Díaz Colombia · LW2%+4900Model projection, not a sportsbook market: a relative ranking of Golden Boot likelihood based on team title odds and attacking role. See live title odds and our full tournament simulation.