The whole World Cup, measured.
Power ratings, win probabilities and tactical breakdowns for all 48 teams and every matchup, updated through the tournament. No fluff, just the numbers that move the bracket.
Kicks off June 11
Opening matches
Title race
Favourites & contenders
#1Spain
Euro 2024 winners and the team to beat.
#2France
Mbappé chasing the trophy that got away in 2022.
#3Argentina
Reigning champions chasing back-to-back glory.
#4Brazil
Ancelotti's Seleção hunting a sixth star.
#5England
Tuchel tasked with ending 60 years of hurt.
#6Germany
Wirtz and Musiala headline a German revival.
#7Portugal
Ronaldo's likely farewell with a golden squad.
#8Netherlands
Oranje blend pragmatism with talent under Koeman.
Latest
News & analysis
World Cup 2026 Golden Boot: The Top 10 Scorers Ranked
Who leads the World Cup 2026 scoring charts now? Kylian Mbappé tops the Golden Boot race on 10 goals, with Messi, Haaland and Bellingham chasing hard.
Senegal World Cup 2026: Penalties and a Last-8 Ceiling
Senegal exited World Cup 2026 in the last 32, losing to Belgium on penalties after a 2-2 draw; Ismaïla Sarr's four goals led a campaign of fine margins.
Messi vs Ronaldo Goals: Spain's Win Capped Ronaldo
The Messi vs Ronaldo goals market resolved to Messi: eight goals and a run to the final beat a Ronaldo Portugal frozen by Spain's round-of-16 win.
Ronaldo Cry Market: The Knockout-Loss Tears Rule
Will Ronaldo cry at the World Cup? Back the Yes: a 0-1 knockout exit to Spain in what was certainly his last World Cup is exactly the scenario that breaks him.
On the radar
Featured matchups
Group stage
All 12 groups
Group A
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mexico | #15 | 2.5% |
| 2 |  South Korea | #25 | 0.8% |
| 3 |  Czech Republic | #41 | 0.4% |
| 4 |  South Africa | #60 | 0.2% |
Group B
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | #19 | 1% |
| 2 |  Canada | #30 | 1.2% |
| 3 |  Qatar | #55 | 0.2% |
| 4 |  Bosnia and Herzegovina | #65 | 0.2% |
Group C
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | #6 | 11% |
| 2 |  Morocco | #8 | 3.5% |
| 3 |  Scotland | #43 | 0.3% |
| 4 |  Haiti | #83 | 0.1% |
Group D
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  United States | #16 | 2.5% |
| 2 |  Turkey | #22 | 1.2% |
| 3 |  Australia | #27 | 0.4% |
| 4 |  Paraguay | #40 | 0.4% |
Group E
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | #10 | 8% |
| 2 |  Ecuador | #23 | 0.7% |
| 3 |  Ivory Coast | #34 | 0.8% |
| 4 |  Curaçao | #82 | 0.1% |
Group F
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | #7 | 6% |
| 2 |  Japan | #18 | 1.5% |
| 3 |  Sweden | #38 | 1.5% |
| 4 |  Tunisia | #44 | 0.2% |
Group G
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Belgium | #9 | 3% |
| 2 |  Iran | #21 | 0.5% |
| 3 |  Egypt | #29 | 0.6% |
| 4 |  New Zealand | #85 | 0.1% |
Group H
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | #2 | 16% |
| 2 |  Uruguay | #17 | 4% |
| 3 |  Saudi Arabia | #61 | 0.2% |
| 4 |  Cape Verde | #69 | 0.1% |
Group I
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | #1 | 12% |
| 2 |  Senegal | #14 | 1.2% |
| 3 |  Norway | #31 | 2% |
| 4 |  Iraq | #57 | 0.1% |
Group J
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | #3 | 12% |
| 2 |  Austria | #24 | 1% |
| 3 |  Algeria | #28 | 0.4% |
| 4 |  Jordan | #63 | 0.1% |
Group K
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | #5 | 7% |
| 2 |  Colombia | #13 | 2% |
| 3 |  DR Congo | #46 | 0.2% |
| 4 |  Uzbekistan | #50 | 0.1% |
Group L
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | #4 | 10% |
| 2 |  Croatia | #11 | 2% |
| 3 |  Panama | #33 | 0.2% |
| 4 |  Ghana | #74 | 0.4% |