The whole World Cup, measured.
Power ratings, win probabilities and tactical breakdowns for all 48 teams and every matchup, updated through the tournament. No fluff, just the numbers that move the bracket.
Kicks off June 11
Opening matches
Title race
Favourites & contenders
#1Spain
Euro 2024 winners and the team to beat.
#2France
Mbappé chasing the trophy that got away in 2022.
#3Brazil
Ancelotti's Seleção hunting a sixth star.
#4England
Tuchel tasked with ending 60 years of hurt.
#5Germany
Wirtz and Musiala headline a German revival.
#6Portugal
Ronaldo's likely farewell with a golden squad.
#7Netherlands
Oranje blend pragmatism with talent under Koeman.
#8Uruguay
Bielsa's intense, high-pressing Celeste.
Latest
News & analysis
World Cup 2026 Power Rankings: Spain the Team to Beat
Spain top the World Cup 2026 power rankings at 59.1% title odds, ahead of Argentina's 41%, as the two giants meet in the final. Our full ranking and verdict.
Cape Verde World Cup 2026: How Far the Blue Sharks Went
Cape Verde's World Cup 2026 debut ended in the Round of 32, but the Blue Sharks finished above Uruguay in Group H and pushed reigning champions Argentina hard.
Messi Free Kick 2026: One Match Left, Fade the Yes
With only the Final left, Messi to score a direct free kick is a recency-bias trap. Here is why the Yes on the Polymarket free-kick prop for World Cup 2026 is too high.
World Cup Bronze Ball: Back Mbappe Over Bellingham
Kylian Mbappe's tournament-leading 10 goals make him the value pick for the World Cup Bronze Ball on Polymarket at 10.8%, while the crowd overrates Jude Bellingham.
On the radar
Featured matchups
Group stage
All 12 groups
Group A
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mexico | #15 | 2.5% |
| 2 |  South Korea | #25 | 0.8% |
| 3 |  Czech Republic | #41 | 0.4% |
| 4 |  South Africa | #60 | 0.2% |
Group B
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | #19 | 1% |
| 2 |  Canada | #30 | 1.2% |
| 3 |  Qatar | #55 | 0.2% |
| 4 |  Bosnia and Herzegovina | #65 | 0.2% |
Group C
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | #6 | 11% |
| 2 |  Morocco | #8 | 3.5% |
| 3 |  Scotland | #43 | 0.3% |
| 4 |  Haiti | #83 | 0.1% |
Group D
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  United States | #16 | 2.5% |
| 2 |  Turkey | #22 | 1.2% |
| 3 |  Australia | #27 | 0.4% |
| 4 |  Paraguay | #40 | 0.4% |
Group E
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | #10 | 8% |
| 2 |  Ecuador | #23 | 0.7% |
| 3 |  Ivory Coast | #34 | 0.8% |
| 4 |  Curaçao | #82 | 0.1% |
Group F
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | #7 | 6% |
| 2 |  Japan | #18 | 1.5% |
| 3 |  Sweden | #38 | 1.5% |
| 4 |  Tunisia | #44 | 0.2% |
Group G
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Belgium | #9 | 3% |
| 2 |  Iran | #21 | 0.5% |
| 3 |  Egypt | #29 | 0.6% |
| 4 |  New Zealand | #85 | 0.1% |
Group H
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | #2 | 100% |
| 2 | Uruguay | #17 | 4% |
| 3 |  Saudi Arabia | #61 | 0.2% |
| 4 |  Cape Verde | #69 | 0.1% |
Group I
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | #1 | 12% |
| 2 |  Senegal | #14 | 1.2% |
| 3 |  Norway | #31 | 2% |
| 4 |  Iraq | #57 | 0.1% |
Group J
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Argentina | #3 | 0.1% |
| 2 |  Austria | #24 | 1% |
| 3 |  Algeria | #28 | 0.4% |
| 4 |  Jordan | #63 | 0.1% |
Group K
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | #5 | 7% |
| 2 |  Colombia | #13 | 2% |
| 3 |  DR Congo | #46 | 0.2% |
| 4 |  Uzbekistan | #50 | 0.1% |
Group L
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | #4 | 10% |
| 2 |  Croatia | #11 | 2% |
| 3 |  Panama | #33 | 0.2% |
| 4 |  Ghana | #74 | 0.4% |