The whole World Cup, measured.
Power ratings, win probabilities and tactical breakdowns for all 48 teams and every matchup, updated through the tournament. No fluff, just the numbers that move the bracket.
Kicks off June 11
Opening matches
Title race
Favourites & contenders
#1Spain
Euro 2024 winners and the team to beat.
#2France
Mbappé chasing the trophy that got away in 2022.
#3Argentina
Reigning champions chasing back-to-back glory.
#4Brazil
Ancelotti's Seleção hunting a sixth star.
#5England
Tuchel tasked with ending 60 years of hurt.
#6Germany
Wirtz and Musiala headline a German revival.
#7Portugal
Ronaldo's likely farewell with a golden squad.
#8Netherlands
Oranje blend pragmatism with talent under Koeman.
Latest
News & analysis
Dark Horses of World Cup 2026: Who Ran Furthest
Switzerland, Norway and Morocco carried the dark-horse flag to the World Cup 2026 quarter-finals, but none cracked the semis. Here is how far each side ran.
Switzerland World Cup 2026: How #19 Reached the Last Eight
Switzerland reached the World Cup 2026 quarter-finals as the world's #19 side, seeing off Algeria and Colombia before Argentina ended their run at 1-1.
Fair Play Award 2026: Why Belgium Fit the Model
Our Fair Play Award 2026 verdict: back Belgium. The market chased big names, but the cleanest World Cup disciplinary records reward organised, possession-first sides.
Messi vs Ronaldo Goals: Argentina's Run Sealed It
The Messi vs Ronaldo goals market resolved emphatically for Lionel Messi: eight goals across eight games to the final, while Ronaldo's Portugal fell in the last 16.
On the radar
Featured matchups
Group stage
All 12 groups
Group A
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mexico | #15 | 2.5% |
| 2 |  South Korea | #25 | 0.8% |
| 3 |  Czech Republic | #41 | 0.4% |
| 4 |  South Africa | #60 | 0.2% |
Group B
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | #19 | 1% |
| 2 |  Canada | #30 | 1.2% |
| 3 |  Qatar | #55 | 0.2% |
| 4 |  Bosnia and Herzegovina | #65 | 0.2% |
Group C
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | #6 | 11% |
| 2 |  Morocco | #8 | 3.5% |
| 3 |  Scotland | #43 | 0.3% |
| 4 |  Haiti | #83 | 0.1% |
Group D
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  United States | #16 | 2.5% |
| 2 |  Turkey | #22 | 1.2% |
| 3 |  Australia | #27 | 0.4% |
| 4 |  Paraguay | #40 | 0.4% |
Group E
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | #10 | 8% |
| 2 |  Ecuador | #23 | 0.7% |
| 3 |  Ivory Coast | #34 | 0.8% |
| 4 |  Curaçao | #82 | 0.1% |
Group F
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | #7 | 6% |
| 2 |  Japan | #18 | 1.5% |
| 3 |  Sweden | #38 | 1.5% |
| 4 |  Tunisia | #44 | 0.2% |
Group G
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Belgium | #9 | 3% |
| 2 |  Iran | #21 | 0.5% |
| 3 |  Egypt | #29 | 0.6% |
| 4 |  New Zealand | #85 | 0.1% |
Group H
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | #2 | 16% |
| 2 |  Uruguay | #17 | 4% |
| 3 |  Saudi Arabia | #61 | 0.2% |
| 4 |  Cape Verde | #69 | 0.1% |
Group I
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | #1 | 12% |
| 2 |  Senegal | #14 | 1.2% |
| 3 |  Norway | #31 | 2% |
| 4 |  Iraq | #57 | 0.1% |
Group J
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | #3 | 12% |
| 2 |  Austria | #24 | 1% |
| 3 |  Algeria | #28 | 0.4% |
| 4 |  Jordan | #63 | 0.1% |
Group K
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | #5 | 7% |
| 2 |  Colombia | #13 | 2% |
| 3 |  DR Congo | #46 | 0.2% |
| 4 |  Uzbekistan | #50 | 0.1% |
Group L
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | #4 | 10% |
| 2 |  Croatia | #11 | 2% |
| 3 |  Panama | #33 | 0.2% |
| 4 |  Ghana | #74 | 0.4% |