ESP 16%
FRA 12%
ARG 12%
BRA 11%
ENG 10%
Tournament outlook
As of July 20, 2026, Norway have a 2% market-implied probability of winning the 2026 World Cup (+4900), the 14th-best odds of any team, based on live model estimates.
At their first World Cup since 1998, Norway boast two of the world's best players. If Haaland clicks, they can beat anyone, but the supporting cast is unproven.
Managed by Ståle Solbakken, Norway head into the 2026 World Cup in Group I, where they face France, Senegal, Iraq. With a FIFA ranking of #31, expectations are calibrated accordingly, but tournament football has a way of rewriting the script.
Key players
Erling Braut Haaland is a Norwegian professional footballer who plays as a striker for Premier League club Manchester City and the Norway national team.
Martin Ødegaard is a Norwegian professional footballer who plays as a midfielder for and captains both Premier League club Arsenal and the Norway national team.
Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa is a Norwegian professional footballer who plays as a winger or attacking midfielder for Bundesliga club RB Leipzig and the Norway national team.
Strengths & weaknesses
▲ Strengths
- A generational striker in Haaland
- Ødegaard's creativity
- Directness
▼ Weaknesses
- Defensive quality
- Squad depth beyond the stars
How far can Norway go?
Norway have the quality to escape the group and trouble seeded sides. A quarter-final would be a strong tournament. Follow our matchup previews and live odds throughout the group stage to track their progress.
