Who will win the 2026 World Cup?

Outright title odds for all 48 teams, win probability with American and decimal prices, served live from Polymarket and refreshed throughout the tournament. New traders can claim a $50 bonus on a $20 deposit to take a position on the title race.

As of July 20, 2026, the market-implied probabilities to win the 2026 World Cup are: Spain 16%, France 12%, Argentina 12%, Brazil 11%, England 10%. Spain are the current favorites, based on live model estimates.