ESP 16%
FRA 12%
ARG 12%
BRA 11%
ENG 10%
Tournament outlook
As of July 20, 2026, Turkey have a 1.2% market-implied probability of winning the 2026 World Cup (+8233), the 19th-best odds of any team, based on live model estimates.
Turkey's emerging talents make them one of the tournament's most watchable sides. If the defence holds, they are genuine dark horses.
Managed by Vincenzo Montella, Turkey head into the 2026 World Cup in Group D, where they face United States, Paraguay, Australia. With a FIFA ranking of #22, expectations are calibrated accordingly, but tournament football has a way of rewriting the script.
Key players
Arda Güler is a Turkish professional footballer who plays as an attacking midfielder or winger for La Liga club Real Madrid and the Turkey national team.
Hakan Çalhanoğlu is a professional footballer who plays as a defensive midfielder for Serie A club Inter Milan.
Kenan Yıldız is a professional footballer who plays as an attacking midfielder or winger for Serie A club Juventus.
Strengths & weaknesses
▲ Strengths
- Outstanding young creators
- Technical quality
- Tempo
▼ Weaknesses
- Defensive concentration
- Big-game experience
How far can Turkey go?
Turkey have the quality to escape the group and trouble seeded sides. A quarter-final would be a strong tournament. Follow our matchup previews and live odds throughout the group stage to track their progress.
