ESP 100%
FRA 12%
BRA 11%
ENG 10%
GER 8%
Tournament outlook
As of July 20, 2026, United States have a 2.5% market-implied probability of winning the 2026 World Cup (+3900), the 11th-best odds of any team, based on live model estimates.
On home soil with their most experienced 'golden generation' yet, the USMNT under Pochettino have the talent to reach the latter stages, if the pieces click.
Managed by Mauricio Pochettino, United States head into the 2026 World Cup in Group D, where they face Paraguay, Australia, Turkey. With a FIFA ranking of #16, expectations are calibrated accordingly, but tournament football has a way of rewriting the script.
Key players
Christian Mate Pulisic is an American professional soccer player who plays as a winger, attacking midfielder and forward for Serie A club AC Milan and the United States national team.
Weston James Earl McKennie is an American professional soccer player who plays primarily as a midfielder for Serie A club Juventus and the United States national team.
Antonee Robinson is a professional soccer player who plays as a left-back for Premier League club Fulham.
Strengths & weaknesses
▲ Strengths
- Co-host advantage
- European-tested core
- Pace out wide
▼ Weaknesses
- Centre-forward question
- Tournament temperament
How far can United States go?
United States have the quality to escape the group and trouble seeded sides. A quarter-final would be a strong tournament. Follow our matchup previews and live odds throughout the group stage to track their progress.
