ESP 16%
FRA 12%
ARG 12%
BRA 11%
ENG 10%Areas of focus
Recent work by Zach
World Cup 2026: Which Favourites Flopped vs the Odds
A title-odds reckoning of World Cup 2026's fallen favourites: why Germany, the Netherlands, Brazil and Uruguay flopped while Spain and Argentina delivered.
Senegal World Cup 2026: The Run, the Stars, the Verdict
Senegal reached the World Cup 2026 Round of 32 before Belgium ended their run on penalties. We rate Ismaila Sarr, the Group of Death and the verdict.
Hat-Trick 2026: 48 Teams, 11-Goal Gaps Cash Yes
The World Cup 2026 hat-trick market resolved Yes exactly as the 48-team format promised: lopsided mismatches and volume scorers led by Kylian Mbappé made the fade a mistake.
Fair Play Award 2026: Back Portugal, the Clean Pick
The World Cup 2026 Fair Play Award rewards the cleanest disciplinary record, not the best team. Here is why Portugal fit the model and are the value trade on Polymarket.
World Cup 2026 Knockouts: The Six Big Takeaways
From Brazil's exit to a Spain-Argentina final, the World Cup 2026 knockouts delivered six clear lessons on favourites, penalties, hosts and the Golden Boot.
Cape Verde World Cup 2026: The Blueprint Behind the Run
Cape Verde's World Cup 2026 debut ended in a Round-of-32 penalty defeat to Argentina, but the #69-ranked Blue Sharks outlasted Uruguay to make history.
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