ESP 16%
FRA 12%
ARG 12%
BRA 11%
ENG 10%Areas of focus
Recent work by Zach
Title-Odds Movers: The Market's Final 2026 Reckoning
Spain and Argentina, two of the market's three biggest favourites, reached a goalless World Cup 2026 final while Brazil, Germany and France all fell early.
Senegal at World Cup 2026: Sarr's Lions and a Last-32 Exit
Senegal's World Cup 2026 ended in the Round of 32, beaten by Belgium 2-2 and on penalties. Inside the Teranga Lions' run, Ismaila Sarr's goals and how far they went.
Trump at the Final: The Infantino Factor Sealed Yes
Why the Trump to attend the World Cup final market on Polymarket was always a near-lock: host head of state, the MetLife venue and the Infantino factor.
Golden Ball 2026: The 0-0 Final Backs Doué, Not Mbappé
Our Polymarket World Cup Golden Ball pick: back France's Désiré Doué and fade Golden Boot winner Mbappé, as a goalless final leaves it wide open.
World Cup 2026 Dark Horses: The Deep Runs, Graded
Switzerland and Norway were World Cup 2026's furthest dark horses, both reaching the quarter-finals. We grade every outsider's run and its true ceiling.
Cape Verde at World Cup 2026: The Blue Sharks' Verdict
Cape Verde lit up World Cup 2026 on debut, topping Uruguay in Group H before Argentina ended their run in the last 32. Key players and how far they went.
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