ESP 16.6%
FRA 16.1%
POR 10.6%
ENG 9.7%
ARG 7.9%Areas of focus
Recent work by Zach
Lamine Yamal: Spain's Teenage Star Ready for 2026
Lamine Yamal is the standout 2026 World Cup player to watch: the Euro 2024 winner could drive Spain, FIFA's No.2 and 16% title favourites, to a fourth crown.
Netherlands 2026 World Cup: How Far Can the Oranje Go?
The Netherlands arrive at the 2026 World Cup ranked seventh on 6% title odds. Inside Koeman's squad, key players, Group F path and how far the Oranje can go.
Fair Play Award 2026: Back Spain Over Japan
The 2026 World Cup Fair Play Award rewards the cleanest, deepest-running side, and Spain looks the value pick over favourite Japan on Polymarket.
Messi vs Ronaldo Goals: Back Ronaldo at 37.5%
Polymarket prices Messi at 62.5% to outscore Ronaldo at the 2026 World Cup, but Ronaldo at 37.5% is the value trade. Here is why that gap is too wide.
Brazil 1-1 Morocco: Atlas Lions show they belong
Brazil 1-1 Morocco: Vinícius Júnior cancelled out Ismael Saibari as the Atlas Lions earned a statement Group C point against Ancelotti's Seleção.
Qatar 1-1 Switzerland: Khoukhi strikes at the death
Qatar 1-1 Switzerland: Khoukhi's stoppage-time leveller earned Qatar a hard-won point after Breel Embolo's early goal for Switzerland in Group B.
For how we research, source data and use AI, see our editorial standards.