Japan vs Swedenprediction, odds, kickoff time & how to watch: 2026 World Cup

Match reportJapan 1-1 Sweden: Elanga levels, Group F wide openRead recap →

Head to head

Title odds1.5%1.5%
FIFA standing#18#38
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Japan vs Sweden is a clash of styles: Asia against Europe. This is a coin-flip: our model has it 38–38 with a fat 24% draw.

Tactically, Japan will want to lean on european-based depth to get at Sweden, whose midfield creativity is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Sweden's physical presence could punish Japan if set-piece defending goes unaddressed. Expect both coaches, Hajime Moriyasu and Graham Potter, to set up around exactly that battle.

Keep an eye on Takefusa Kubo (RW, Real Sociedad) and Alexander Isak (ST, Liverpool): the two most likely to decide it with a moment of quality. By Matchday 3, qualification math is usually on the line, so expect both sides to know exactly what result they need.

Key players

JPN Japan

Takefusa Kubo
Takefusa Kubo
RW · Real Sociedad
Kaoru Mitoma
Kaoru Mitoma
LW · Brighton
Wataru Endō
Wataru Endō
DM · Liverpool

SWE Sweden

Alexander Isak
Alexander Isak
ST · Liverpool
Viktor Gyökeres
Viktor Gyökeres
ST · Arsenal
Dejan Kulusevski
Dejan Kulusevski
RW · Tottenham